I am actually posting this from Walt Disney World this morning, where temperatures will soar into the mid to upper 80's later today!
Nevertheless, I'm still following the weather back home, and I do not envy the expected snow for my friends in Louisville and much of Kentucky for that matter.
The March snowfalls can be exciting, though most of the time they rarely stick around very long. This could be Louisville's snowiest 24-hours since 2008 when over 10" fell.
I will say the ongoing forecast has bust written all over it for some of us. The most accurate run of the NAM is considered the outlier yet has proven to be a reliable model within 24 hours.
Although the 0z run has trended toward the heavier totals suggested by other models, amounts will be tricky to forecast because of the warmer ground and air temperature transitioning to the colder solution with precipitation ongoing.
Still, 5-9" looks good for Louisville. Possible higher amounts just south.
MS
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