BiG Snow Likely

NWS is calling this the largest snow storm to hit the area here for Louisville in at least 10 years, even comparing this one with heavyweights of the 1990's.

As I looked at the analogs for this storm system, the NAM analog has 2 powerhouse storms from the 90's in the top 6, including the January 1994 event.

I am working on another post for later this evening that has stats on daily weather records. It does appear that Louisville and Lexington could be looking at new daily snowfall records for the date tomorrow. In fact, some amounts may be in the top ten snowiest days ever for any month.

I am still not overly optimistic about Louisville's chances for a BIG snow (> 6"). However, the WPC has an area near Louisville and just south in a moderate risk for snowfall amounts approaching 12"!!

NWS Louisville has Louisville in a 8-12" range.

Until I digest data from the RAP short range models, I still think there could be a bust potential for areas near the Ohio River.

Nevertheless, I still think Louisville should see 4-8", amounts varying from smaller in the north to larger accumulations south. Still a big snow, regardless.

It will be interesting to see where these heavier bands set up. Somebody is going to get pounded.

More updates likely...

MS